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The second element (complete with contraction) is a very natural way to express a potential future event that is much less certain, and probably not 'fixed' ~ certainly in the current speaker's mind ~ in the same way as the front part of the situation. We use this form (usually contracted) when predicting, from past experience ~ as here ~ how matters may develop. ('If I know Uncle Charles, he'll have had a drink or two before he gets here.')